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Argument: Iraqis will avoid civil war precisely because its prospects are so grim

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Supporting evidence

  • Robert Dreyfuss. "Apocalypse Not". Washington Monthly. March, 2007 - "Not only is the worst-case scenario far from a sure thing in the event of an American withdrawal, but there is also a best-case scenario. Precisely because the idea of all-out civil war and a regional blowup involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey is so horrifying, all the political forces inside and outside Iraq have many incentives not to go there."

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